Fed mantém juros pela quarta reunião consecutiva. Continua a ver dois cortes este ano

[rsacramento]

após meses e meses de lateralização o CAC resolveu interrompê-la

actualmente consolida/ressalta perto de um suporte que vem de 2009, bastante longe da resistência chave dos 4050

[Sr_SNiper]

g.a.

triângulo simétrico no CAC-40. A quebra do triângulo ditará, provavelmente, o rumo a seguir.

Rumo a seguir???

[Elias]

g.a.

triângulo simétrico no CAC-40. A quebra do triângulo ditará, provavelmente, o rumo a seguir.

[Sr_SNiper]

Os 3300 estão já aí... vamos aguardar pelos próximos capítulos...

[Marco Martins]

Segundo o gráfico, o que me parece estar a acontecer é o mesmo que aconteceu em Agosto de 2008! Uma queda a pique, e depois um mês de subidas para depois andar a descer até Fevereiro do ano seguinte....

[Sr_SNiper]

O CAC 40 depois da queda livre dá indícios de ter encontrado um suporte.

O RSI visitou valores que á muito não eram visitados e as velas de quarta, quinta e sexta feira mostram que existe uma grande probabilidade de o fundo estar por esta zona.

[J Alves]

Deixo tb o grafico do cac. Suporte na zona dos 2975. Se considerarmos uma possivel visita do dax aos 6330 pontos podemos esperar tb uma visita do cac à proxima zona de resistência dos 3350 pontos

[flugufrelsarinn]

assim por alto ninguem ve um mini h&s invertido acabado de activar no gráfico diário com target de 100 pts??

Não me parece q haja nenhum HS. Nos cfds consegues visualzar é uma zona de laterização entre os 3000 e os 3200. Se o cac se conseguir aguentar acima dos 3000 tem margem para subir pelo menos 200 pontos.

Numa perspectiva diferente tb podes verificar uma cunha descendente, mas na qual ainda não aconteceu a sua quebra. A perojecção desta cunha tb é os 3200 pontos +/-

Desculpa disse mal queria dizer no gráfico intraday

Deu para ir ao pote

[J Alves]

assim por alto ninguem ve um mini h&s invertido acabado de activar no gráfico diário com target de 100 pts??

Não me parece q haja nenhum HS. Nos cfds consegues visualzar é uma zona de laterização entre os 3000 e os 3200. Se o cac se conseguir aguentar acima dos 3000 tem margem para subir pelo menos 200 pontos.

Numa perspectiva diferente tb podes verificar uma cunha descendente, mas na qual ainda não aconteceu a sua quebra. A perojecção desta cunha tb é os 3200 pontos +/-

[flugufrelsarinn]

assim por alto ninguem ve um mini h&s invertido acabado de activar no gráfico diário com target de 100 pts??

[Marco Martins]

Exclusive - Bank in Asia cuts credit to French lenders
12:55pm BST
By Rachel Armstrong and Saeed Azhar

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - One bank in Asia has cut credit lines to major French lenders while five other banks in Asia are reviewing trades and counterparty risk as worries about the exposure of French banks to peripheral euro zone debt mounts, banking sources told Reuters on Thursday.

Rumours on Wednesday that France was to lose its AAA rating, later denied by ratings agencies, helped trigger the biggest widening in the European credit default swap index since the credit crunch in 2008.

That sudden rise in risk perception, combined with sharp share price falls in French banks, prompted some banks in Asia to speed up reviews of counterparty risk and look at whether they should cut exposure to European lenders, sources at each of the six banks in Asia said.

Contacted about the moves by the banks in Asia, a spokeswoman for top French lender BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) in Paris said: "We never comment on market rumours."

Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) had no immediate comment to make while a spokeswoman for Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA: Quote, Profile, Research), which will publish its second-quarter earnings later in August, said the bank would not make any comment.

The banks in Asia and the sources -- a mix of risk officers, senior traders and loan bankers -- could not be identified because of the sensitive nature of the information.

The head of treasury risk management for Asia at one bank in Singapore -- which has a significant presence across the region -- said their credit lines to large French banks had been cut because of the perceived risks in lending to these counterparties.

"We've cut. The limits have been removed from the system. They have to seek approval on a case-by-case basis," the treasury risk official said. The official declined to name the French banks.

Societe Generale put out a statement on Wednesday denying rumours about its financial health after its shares fell by as much as 21 percent.

The statement failed to fend off much of the market's concern with its shares ending the day 15 percent lower, taking losses since early July to more than 50 percent.

A senior credit trader in Singapore said that when a bank's shares fall that sharply their risk officer will automatically look at how much exposure they have to that lender.

SocGen shares were down 4 percent by 1030 GMT (11:30 a.m. British time) on Thursday. BNP was down 5 percent while Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) was largely flat.

Banks' heightened responses could exacerbate the market strains if they all acted simultaneously with portfolio-at-risk modelling, analysts said.

"The thing is if they all use it at the same time they will all sell at the same time when risk goes up, and that will drive prices down and it is like a snowball because then the prices go down and then your value-at-risk ratio will tell you 'oh, I must reduce my risk even more'," said Mark Matthews, head of research at Julius Baer.

...

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/08/1 ... QC20110811

será que o mesmo aconteceu ou vai acontecer ao Bank of America??

[PC05]

Exclusive - Bank in Asia cuts credit to French lenders
12:55pm BST
By Rachel Armstrong and Saeed Azhar

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - One bank in Asia has cut credit lines to major French lenders while five other banks in Asia are reviewing trades and counterparty risk as worries about the exposure of French banks to peripheral euro zone debt mounts, banking sources told Reuters on Thursday.

Rumours on Wednesday that France was to lose its AAA rating, later denied by ratings agencies, helped trigger the biggest widening in the European credit default swap index since the credit crunch in 2008.

That sudden rise in risk perception, combined with sharp share price falls in French banks, prompted some banks in Asia to speed up reviews of counterparty risk and look at whether they should cut exposure to European lenders, sources at each of the six banks in Asia said.

Contacted about the moves by the banks in Asia, a spokeswoman for top French lender BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) in Paris said: "We never comment on market rumours."

Societe Generale (SOGN.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) had no immediate comment to make while a spokeswoman for Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA: Quote, Profile, Research), which will publish its second-quarter earnings later in August, said the bank would not make any comment.

The banks in Asia and the sources -- a mix of risk officers, senior traders and loan bankers -- could not be identified because of the sensitive nature of the information.

The head of treasury risk management for Asia at one bank in Singapore -- which has a significant presence across the region -- said their credit lines to large French banks had been cut because of the perceived risks in lending to these counterparties.

"We've cut. The limits have been removed from the system. They have to seek approval on a case-by-case basis," the treasury risk official said. The official declined to name the French banks.

Societe Generale put out a statement on Wednesday denying rumours about its financial health after its shares fell by as much as 21 percent.

The statement failed to fend off much of the market's concern with its shares ending the day 15 percent lower, taking losses since early July to more than 50 percent.

A senior credit trader in Singapore said that when a bank's shares fall that sharply their risk officer will automatically look at how much exposure they have to that lender.

SocGen shares were down 4 percent by 1030 GMT (11:30 a.m. British time) on Thursday. BNP was down 5 percent while Credit Agricole (CAGR.PA: Quote, Profile, Research) was largely flat.

Banks' heightened responses could exacerbate the market strains if they all acted simultaneously with portfolio-at-risk modelling, analysts said.

"The thing is if they all use it at the same time they will all sell at the same time when risk goes up, and that will drive prices down and it is like a snowball because then the prices go down and then your value-at-risk ratio will tell you 'oh, I must reduce my risk even more'," said Mark Matthews, head of research at Julius Baer.

...

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2011/08/1 ... QC20110811

[Sr_SNiper]

É o fim do mundo que se aproxíma...


UBS / Reuters

One bank in Asia cuts credit lines to major french banks.
Five other banks in Asia reviewing

[Sr_SNiper]

nunca pensei ver o CAC abaixo dos 3000 Pontos...
É incrivel como se pode destruir numa semana o valor acumulado em anos...

[Pickbull]

Nunca pensei que fica-se no verde tão rápidamente...
Terminou a leg down...

Pelos vistos não.

O mercado está com uma volatilidade enorme.

[RISCAS]

Nunca pensei que fica-se no verde tão rápidamente...
Terminou a leg down...

Isto penso eu que foi para venda, estou fora e mais logo vou ver a abertura E.U.A , ou então isto já estava tudo descontado. Pensamento de um amador.

[Sr_SNiper]

Nunca pensei que fica-se no verde tão rápidamente...
Terminou a leg down...

[Sr_SNiper]

Bem... está tudo tao barato... já me pergunto se não vai ficar MUITO mais barato...

[yabadoo]

se perguntas se me guio por ele, a resposta é não

contudo faz um bonito gráfico

Sem dúvida. É um indicador muito bonito

[rsacramento]

se perguntas se me guio por ele, a resposta é não

contudo faz um bonito gráfico

[yabadoo]

uma actualização gráfica, numa altura em que os mercados aparentam falta de força

Deixaste de usar aquele indicador que colocavas no topo do gráfico ?

[rsacramento]

uma actualização gráfica, numa altura em que os mercados aparentam falta de força

[Elias]

Ilha reversiva no CAC 40

[rsacramento]

(desta vez) o martelo invertido teve êxito, quer no cac quer no stoxx600

[Pickbull]

Para não abrir um tópico só para isto fica aqui a notícia.

Vai lá vai ....

Acções França: As acções da Poweo (ALPWO:xpar) estão a subir 65%. De acordo com o Le Journal du Dimanche, a empresa Austríaca Verbund AG estaria em conversações no sentido de vender 46% da Poweo, no entanto sem indicar a fonte da informação. As conversações, ainda numa fase preliminar, incluiriam a ENEL e a ENI.