Dynamic Pivots - Matsys
Dynamic Pivots
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF
Average True Range High Band
1.2461 1.7934 1.2703
Matsys Resistance
1.2409 1.7866 1.2643
Pivot Point
1.2353 1.7818 1.2578
Matsys Support
1.2301 1.7753 1.2521
Average True Range Low Band
1.2276 1.7701 1.2462
Reversal Triggers - MACD Optimizer
MACD - slow-fast-smooth
EUR/USD
07-13-08
GBP/USD
10-17-07
USD/CHF
08-11-06
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF
Average True Range High Band
1.2461 1.7934 1.2703
Matsys Resistance
1.2409 1.7866 1.2643
Pivot Point
1.2353 1.7818 1.2578
Matsys Support
1.2301 1.7753 1.2521
Average True Range Low Band
1.2276 1.7701 1.2462
Reversal Triggers - MACD Optimizer
MACD - slow-fast-smooth
EUR/USD
07-13-08
GBP/USD
10-17-07
USD/CHF
08-11-06
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Daily trades:
08/10 14:03 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2548 1.2565 08/10 14:48 -17
08/10 14:02 EUR/USD BUY 1.2398 1.2383 08/10 14:56 -15
08/10 19:00 EUR/USD BUY 1.2376 1.2378 1.2380 08/10 23:54 4
Daily result on Matsys T (2 lots): -56 pips
08/11 01:21 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2541 1.2534 08/11 04:39 7
08/11 05:32 GBP/USD BUY 1.8000 1.7983 08/11 05:36 -17
08/11 05:54 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7974 1.7975 08/11 06:56 -1
08/11 05:54 EUR/USD SHORT 1.2396 1.2403 08/11 07:07 -7
08/11 05:55 USD/CHF BUY 1.2544 1.2540 08/11 07:08 -4
08/11 07:09 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2535 1.2518 08/11 08:33 17
08/11 07:10 GBP/USD BUY 1.7995 1.8025 08/11 09:23 30
08/11 08:00 EUR/USD BUY 1.2424 1.2409 08/11 12:12 -15
Daily result on Matsys T (2 lots): +6 pips
08/10 14:03 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2548 1.2565 08/10 14:48 -17
08/10 14:02 EUR/USD BUY 1.2398 1.2383 08/10 14:56 -15
08/10 19:00 EUR/USD BUY 1.2376 1.2378 1.2380 08/10 23:54 4
Daily result on Matsys T (2 lots): -56 pips
08/11 01:21 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2541 1.2534 08/11 04:39 7
08/11 05:32 GBP/USD BUY 1.8000 1.7983 08/11 05:36 -17
08/11 05:54 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7974 1.7975 08/11 06:56 -1
08/11 05:54 EUR/USD SHORT 1.2396 1.2403 08/11 07:07 -7
08/11 05:55 USD/CHF BUY 1.2544 1.2540 08/11 07:08 -4
08/11 07:09 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2535 1.2518 08/11 08:33 17
08/11 07:10 GBP/USD BUY 1.7995 1.8025 08/11 09:23 30
08/11 08:00 EUR/USD BUY 1.2424 1.2409 08/11 12:12 -15
Daily result on Matsys T (2 lots): +6 pips
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Dynamic Pivots
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF
Average True Range High Band
1.2461 1.7934 1.2703
Matsys Resistance
1.2409 1.7866 1.2643
Pivot Point
1.2353 1.7818 1.2578
Matsys Support
1.2301 1.7753 1.2521
Average True Range Low Band
1.2276 1.7701 1.2462
MACD - slow-fast-smooth
EUR/USD
07-13-08
GBP/USD
10-17-07
USD/CHF
08-11-06
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF
Average True Range High Band
1.2461 1.7934 1.2703
Matsys Resistance
1.2409 1.7866 1.2643
Pivot Point
1.2353 1.7818 1.2578
Matsys Support
1.2301 1.7753 1.2521
Average True Range Low Band
1.2276 1.7701 1.2462
MACD - slow-fast-smooth
EUR/USD
07-13-08
GBP/USD
10-17-07
USD/CHF
08-11-06
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Market comment:
US July Retail Sales data is due at 12:30. Still falling into the summer-sale period, expectations are for a strong 2% growth, the recent slow-down in store sales will only be felt in August’ data. US June Business Inventories are due at the same time as well as the weekly initial Jobless Claims expected to remain around the 312k seen last week.
The strong push higher in EURUSD has still not yet realized. While the pair has pushed for a new high of 1.2420 and continues to trade near the top, we still expect a stronger surge to reach above 1.2500. Meanwhile GBPUSD has pushed ahead to reach the 1.8000 level. This first target achieved, there is some risk of a short-tem dip as profits are taken. For now, stick with long positions, expect to rise to 1.8080 on the day. There is a short-term support at 1.7960, pivot for a possible fall to underlying trend support at 1.7890.
US July Retail Sales data is due at 12:30. Still falling into the summer-sale period, expectations are for a strong 2% growth, the recent slow-down in store sales will only be felt in August’ data. US June Business Inventories are due at the same time as well as the weekly initial Jobless Claims expected to remain around the 312k seen last week.
The strong push higher in EURUSD has still not yet realized. While the pair has pushed for a new high of 1.2420 and continues to trade near the top, we still expect a stronger surge to reach above 1.2500. Meanwhile GBPUSD has pushed ahead to reach the 1.8000 level. This first target achieved, there is some risk of a short-tem dip as profits are taken. For now, stick with long positions, expect to rise to 1.8080 on the day. There is a short-term support at 1.7960, pivot for a possible fall to underlying trend support at 1.7890.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Daily trades:
08/08 05:23 USD/CHF BUY 1.2669 1.2658 08/08 05:36 -11
08/08 07:05 EUR/USD BUY 1.2337 1.2362 08/08 08:13 25
08/08 07:08 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2646 1.2622 08/08 08:25 24
08/08 09:10 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2602 1.2603 08/08 10:57 -1
Daily results on Matsys T (2 lots): + 74 pips
08/08 05:23 USD/CHF BUY 1.2669 1.2658 08/08 05:36 -11
08/08 07:05 EUR/USD BUY 1.2337 1.2362 08/08 08:13 25
08/08 07:08 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2646 1.2622 08/08 08:25 24
08/08 09:10 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2602 1.2603 08/08 10:57 -1
Daily results on Matsys T (2 lots): + 74 pips
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Small stops are eyed
EUR/USD is modestly easier, trading just below 1.2370. Dips are shallow
as oil maintains its strong gains, trading just a dime shy of the $63
level. Prospects of continued Fed tightening and perhaps even an
acceleration in tightening in the months ahead are helping push
interest rate differentials to the widest level in years today. Two-
year spreads favor the USD by 185 bp, a new high for the move while ten-
years are at 108 bp, retesting recent highs. Small stops are eyed in
the 1.2355 area but the market retains an overwhelming "buy the dips"
mentality.
EUR/USD is modestly easier, trading just below 1.2370. Dips are shallow
as oil maintains its strong gains, trading just a dime shy of the $63
level. Prospects of continued Fed tightening and perhaps even an
acceleration in tightening in the months ahead are helping push
interest rate differentials to the widest level in years today. Two-
year spreads favor the USD by 185 bp, a new high for the move while ten-
years are at 108 bp, retesting recent highs. Small stops are eyed in
the 1.2355 area but the market retains an overwhelming "buy the dips"
mentality.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
NY opening
August 8: High and rising interest rates, widening rate differentials,
a significant growth differential over the Euro zone, none of these are
helping the USD much is this morning as the market focuses on reserve
diversification by oil producing nations. With oil trading close to
$63, that trend is likely to remain with us for a while. EUR/USD
stalled at Friday"s post-payrolls high of 1.2390, but pullbacks have
been shallow. 1.2360 should provide support on dips near-term while
barriers at 1.2420 should provide some supply on rallies as the holders
defend them. The US calendar is empty so expect oil prices to dominate
the early action with higher oil leading to a higher EUR.
August 8: High and rising interest rates, widening rate differentials,
a significant growth differential over the Euro zone, none of these are
helping the USD much is this morning as the market focuses on reserve
diversification by oil producing nations. With oil trading close to
$63, that trend is likely to remain with us for a while. EUR/USD
stalled at Friday"s post-payrolls high of 1.2390, but pullbacks have
been shallow. 1.2360 should provide support on dips near-term while
barriers at 1.2420 should provide some supply on rallies as the holders
defend them. The US calendar is empty so expect oil prices to dominate
the early action with higher oil leading to a higher EUR.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
The CHF took no initial comfort from the Swiss data released this
morning, Swiss Unemployment for July was reported at 3.5% to match
expectations, as the overnight news from Japan kept the USD underpinned
on the back of JPY weakness. Into Europe and USD selling across the
board was again the theme and more Middle-Eastern buying of the EUR
helped [USD/CHF] offers at 1.2675/80 to cap. Spot was then sold-off
back to 1.2590 as the higher levels offered better levels to sell. With
trading now holding near 1.2600 after stops were taken out the next
layer of sell-stops are noted below 1.2580. Offers are seen at
1.2615/20 with good bids 1.2575. Dealers suggest that until the
1.2565/2675 range is broken the short-term direction maybe sideways.
Much of the focus is directed at the FOMC rate decision tomorrow where
another 25bp hike is expected. [EUR/CHF] trading has pivoted around
1.5600 in Europe after the failure last week at 1.5625. [GBP/CHF] Early
two-way between UK names worked a Franc weakness angle and trading ran
up to 2.2530/35 where better sized offers capped emerged to cap.
morning, Swiss Unemployment for July was reported at 3.5% to match
expectations, as the overnight news from Japan kept the USD underpinned
on the back of JPY weakness. Into Europe and USD selling across the
board was again the theme and more Middle-Eastern buying of the EUR
helped [USD/CHF] offers at 1.2675/80 to cap. Spot was then sold-off
back to 1.2590 as the higher levels offered better levels to sell. With
trading now holding near 1.2600 after stops were taken out the next
layer of sell-stops are noted below 1.2580. Offers are seen at
1.2615/20 with good bids 1.2575. Dealers suggest that until the
1.2565/2675 range is broken the short-term direction maybe sideways.
Much of the focus is directed at the FOMC rate decision tomorrow where
another 25bp hike is expected. [EUR/CHF] trading has pivoted around
1.5600 in Europe after the failure last week at 1.5625. [GBP/CHF] Early
two-way between UK names worked a Franc weakness angle and trading ran
up to 2.2530/35 where better sized offers capped emerged to cap.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
With the broader market fixated by the FOMC meeting tomorrow the JPY
attracted much of the attention overnight after the postal vote defeat
for PM Koizumi meant [EUR/JPY] flows dominated the direction. Into
Europe and with no key data the USD was initially favoured and trading
eased towards 1.2315 before more Middle-Eastern accounts again bought
in good size. The pair rallied and removed stops above 1.2360 before
selling at 1.2375 capped the move. After a period of consolidation the
next leg higher was put through on the back of cable triggering stops
and trading ran up to 1.2390 before the next layer of offers were
found. The market reaction to the much hyped 25bp hike will be key but
bulls are still looking for the EUR to get a boost from the EZ Q2 GDP
data due Thursday. Stops are noted above 1.2400 while there is also
talk of a possible expiry at the price at the NY cut (14:00 GMT). If
the EUR rally can extend to above 1.2400 then the option barriers at
1.2420, 1.2450 and 1.2500 will continue to draw speculation as to the
size of the protection that is noted ahead of them.
attracted much of the attention overnight after the postal vote defeat
for PM Koizumi meant [EUR/JPY] flows dominated the direction. Into
Europe and with no key data the USD was initially favoured and trading
eased towards 1.2315 before more Middle-Eastern accounts again bought
in good size. The pair rallied and removed stops above 1.2360 before
selling at 1.2375 capped the move. After a period of consolidation the
next leg higher was put through on the back of cable triggering stops
and trading ran up to 1.2390 before the next layer of offers were
found. The market reaction to the much hyped 25bp hike will be key but
bulls are still looking for the EUR to get a boost from the EZ Q2 GDP
data due Thursday. Stops are noted above 1.2400 while there is also
talk of a possible expiry at the price at the NY cut (14:00 GMT). If
the EUR rally can extend to above 1.2400 then the option barriers at
1.2420, 1.2450 and 1.2500 will continue to draw speculation as to the
size of the protection that is noted ahead of them.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Daily comment
Sun 7 Aug 2005
The longer term
Thursday, the euro closed at 1.2388. We assumed then that there would be good support at 1.2350 for further gains. We also thought this level to hold through the announcement of NFP and initial claims. But the numbers were much better than expected, and it triggered some euro sell-off -- maybe corporate profits returning to the USA. However, persistant buyers stepped in on the scene whenever the price went below 1.2320, and the week ended at 1.2360. Friday's fight between the bulls and the bears may continue Monday, but we think it will be short-lived, and we are in a period of euro retracement since the low in early July.
On our web at http://www.fxwintrades.com/1021.htm we show three long-range Matsys-T charts. For the most parts the forex community does not have the patience to wait 3-4 months or more, so it is not interesting to publish long range signals. However, you will notice that we have closed eur and gbp short and usd/chf long, and a new position on eur long has been opened. There may be more opportunities to buy into eur at dips below 1.2320 for a longer term strategy.
Sun 7 Aug 2005
The longer term
Thursday, the euro closed at 1.2388. We assumed then that there would be good support at 1.2350 for further gains. We also thought this level to hold through the announcement of NFP and initial claims. But the numbers were much better than expected, and it triggered some euro sell-off -- maybe corporate profits returning to the USA. However, persistant buyers stepped in on the scene whenever the price went below 1.2320, and the week ended at 1.2360. Friday's fight between the bulls and the bears may continue Monday, but we think it will be short-lived, and we are in a period of euro retracement since the low in early July.
On our web at http://www.fxwintrades.com/1021.htm we show three long-range Matsys-T charts. For the most parts the forex community does not have the patience to wait 3-4 months or more, so it is not interesting to publish long range signals. However, you will notice that we have closed eur and gbp short and usd/chf long, and a new position on eur long has been opened. There may be more opportunities to buy into eur at dips below 1.2320 for a longer term strategy.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Weekly trades:
08/01 06:30 EUR/USD SHORT 1.2169 1.2182 08/01 06:56 -13
08/01 07:03 EUR/USD BUY 1.2189 1.2173 08/01 07:57 -16
08/01 07:59 EUR/USD BUY 1.2190 1.2189 08/01 08:09 -1
08/01 07:02 GBP/USD BUY 1.7626 1.7666 08/01 08:40 40
08/01 07:03 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2814 1.2780 08/01 08:41 34
08/01 10:38 GBP/USD BUY 1.7679 1.7673 08/01 11:31 -6
08/01 10:38 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2757 1.2758 08/01 11:33 -1
08/01 11:31 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7671 1.7677 08/01 11:47 -6
08/01 10:39 EUR/USD BUY 1.2228 1.2219 08/01 11:53 -9
08/02 01:30 GBP/USD BUY 1.7706 1.7712 08/02 02:37 6
08/02 01:16 EUR/USD BUY 1.2207 1.2209 08/02 02:41 2
08/02 00:33 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2771 1.2764 08/02 02:57 7
08/02 04:12 GBP/USD BUY 1.7723 1.7711 08/02 04:28 -12
08/02 05:52 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7698 1.7697 08/02 07:26 1
08/02 07:08 USD/CHF BUY 1.2779 1.2761 08/02 07:29 -18
08/02 07:35 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2745 1.2741 08/02 08:19 4
08/02 07:35 GBP/USD BUY 1.7711 1.7722 08/02 08:53 11
08/02 07:34 EUR/USD BUY 1.2217 1.2221 08/02 09:19 4
08/02 12:31 EUR/USD SHORT 1.2207 1.2221 08/02 12:37 -14
08/02 12:32 USD/CHF BUY 1.2748 1.2730 08/02 12:42 -18
08/02 12:31 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7718 1.7734 08/02 12:48 -16
08/02 12:48 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2718 1.2724 08/02 13:05 -6
08/02 12:43 EUR/USD BUY 1.2226 1.2221 08/02 13:06 -5
08/02 13:06 USD/CHF BUY 1.2732 1.2768 08/02 17:06 36
08/02 21:26 GBP/USD BUY 1.7722 1.7710 08/02 22:16 -12
08/03 06:24 GBP/USD BUY 1.7682 1.7697 08/03 07:39 15
08/03 08:43 GBP/USD BUY 1.7734 1.7801 08/03 10:50 67
08/03 06:21 EUR/USD BUY 1.2178 1.2308 08/03 10:58 130
08/03 06:24 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2781 1.2668 08/03 11:04 113
08/04 12:42 USD/CHF BUY 1.2645 1.2632 08/04 13:00 -13
08/04 14:36 GBP/USD BUY 1.7784 1.7801 08/04 15:47 17
08/04 15:51 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7787 1.7806 08/04 16:58 -19
Total weekly results (2 lots): +604 pips
If you are interest on try our free trial (8 days) without any comminent, please contact us.
08/01 06:30 EUR/USD SHORT 1.2169 1.2182 08/01 06:56 -13
08/01 07:03 EUR/USD BUY 1.2189 1.2173 08/01 07:57 -16
08/01 07:59 EUR/USD BUY 1.2190 1.2189 08/01 08:09 -1
08/01 07:02 GBP/USD BUY 1.7626 1.7666 08/01 08:40 40
08/01 07:03 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2814 1.2780 08/01 08:41 34
08/01 10:38 GBP/USD BUY 1.7679 1.7673 08/01 11:31 -6
08/01 10:38 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2757 1.2758 08/01 11:33 -1
08/01 11:31 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7671 1.7677 08/01 11:47 -6
08/01 10:39 EUR/USD BUY 1.2228 1.2219 08/01 11:53 -9
08/02 01:30 GBP/USD BUY 1.7706 1.7712 08/02 02:37 6
08/02 01:16 EUR/USD BUY 1.2207 1.2209 08/02 02:41 2
08/02 00:33 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2771 1.2764 08/02 02:57 7
08/02 04:12 GBP/USD BUY 1.7723 1.7711 08/02 04:28 -12
08/02 05:52 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7698 1.7697 08/02 07:26 1
08/02 07:08 USD/CHF BUY 1.2779 1.2761 08/02 07:29 -18
08/02 07:35 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2745 1.2741 08/02 08:19 4
08/02 07:35 GBP/USD BUY 1.7711 1.7722 08/02 08:53 11
08/02 07:34 EUR/USD BUY 1.2217 1.2221 08/02 09:19 4
08/02 12:31 EUR/USD SHORT 1.2207 1.2221 08/02 12:37 -14
08/02 12:32 USD/CHF BUY 1.2748 1.2730 08/02 12:42 -18
08/02 12:31 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7718 1.7734 08/02 12:48 -16
08/02 12:48 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2718 1.2724 08/02 13:05 -6
08/02 12:43 EUR/USD BUY 1.2226 1.2221 08/02 13:06 -5
08/02 13:06 USD/CHF BUY 1.2732 1.2768 08/02 17:06 36
08/02 21:26 GBP/USD BUY 1.7722 1.7710 08/02 22:16 -12
08/03 06:24 GBP/USD BUY 1.7682 1.7697 08/03 07:39 15
08/03 08:43 GBP/USD BUY 1.7734 1.7801 08/03 10:50 67
08/03 06:21 EUR/USD BUY 1.2178 1.2308 08/03 10:58 130
08/03 06:24 USD/CHF SHORT 1.2781 1.2668 08/03 11:04 113
08/04 12:42 USD/CHF BUY 1.2645 1.2632 08/04 13:00 -13
08/04 14:36 GBP/USD BUY 1.7784 1.7801 08/04 15:47 17
08/04 15:51 GBP/USD SHORT 1.7787 1.7806 08/04 16:58 -19
Total weekly results (2 lots): +604 pips
If you are interest on try our free trial (8 days) without any comminent, please contact us.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Dynamic Pivots
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF
Average True Range High Band
1.2461 1.7934 1.2703
Matsys Resistance
1.2409 1.7866 1.2643
Pivot Point
1.2353 1.7818 1.2578
Matsys Support
1.2301 1.7753 1.2521
Average True Range Low Band
1.2276 1.7701 1.2462
EUR/USD GBP/USD USD/CHF
Average True Range High Band
1.2461 1.7934 1.2703
Matsys Resistance
1.2409 1.7866 1.2643
Pivot Point
1.2353 1.7818 1.2578
Matsys Support
1.2301 1.7753 1.2521
Average True Range Low Band
1.2276 1.7701 1.2462
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
DYNAMIC PIVOTS GbpUsd (DAILY,WEEKLY,MONTHLY) updated
MR3 12756
MR2 12709
ATR HB 12694
MR1 12633
DPP 12598
MS1 12537
MS2 12521
ATR LB 12502
MS3 12441
WMR3 12918
WMR2 12833
WMR1 12711
WPP 12683
WMS1 12543
WMS2 12476
WMS3 12411
MMR3 1.3341
MMR2 1.3166
MMR1 1.2991
MPP 1.2701
MMS1 1.2526
MMS2 1.2237
MMS3 1.2062
MR3 12756
MR2 12709
ATR HB 12694
MR1 12633
DPP 12598
MS1 12537
MS2 12521
ATR LB 12502
MS3 12441
WMR3 12918
WMR2 12833
WMR1 12711
WPP 12683
WMS1 12543
WMS2 12476
WMS3 12411
MMR3 1.3341
MMR2 1.3166
MMR1 1.2991
MPP 1.2701
MMS1 1.2526
MMS2 1.2237
MMS3 1.2062
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
DYNAMIC PIVOTS GbpUsd (DAILY,WEEKLY,MONTHLY) updated
MR3 17939
MR2 17894
ATR HB 17873
MR1 17849
DPP 17781
MS1 17738
MS2 17668
ATR LB 17657
MS3 17623
WMR3 17961
WMR2 17778
WMR1 17595
WPP 17434
WMS1 17251
WMS2 17090
WMS3 16907
MMR3 18934
MMR2 18591
MMR1 18247
MPP 18059
MMS1 17716
MMS2 17528
MMS3 17186
By fxwintrades
MR3 17939
MR2 17894
ATR HB 17873
MR1 17849
DPP 17781
MS1 17738
MS2 17668
ATR LB 17657
MS3 17623
WMR3 17961
WMR2 17778
WMR1 17595
WPP 17434
WMS1 17251
WMS2 17090
WMS3 16907
MMR3 18934
MMR2 18591
MMR1 18247
MPP 18059
MMS1 17716
MMS2 17528
MMS3 17186
By fxwintrades
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
DYNAMIC PIVOTS (DAILY,WEEKLY,MONTHLY) updated
MR3 12506
MR2 12465
ATR HB 12428
MR1 12427
DPP 12363
MS1 12324
MS2 12274
ATR LB 12261
MS3 12222
WMR3 12556
WMR2 12491
WMR1 12355
WPP 12258
WMS1 12201
WMS2 12134
WMS3 11988
MMR3 1.2723
MMR2 1.2512
MMR1 1.2302
MPP 1.2142
MMS1 1.1932
MMS2 1.1772
MMS3 1.1562
By fxwintrades
MR3 12506
MR2 12465
ATR HB 12428
MR1 12427
DPP 12363
MS1 12324
MS2 12274
ATR LB 12261
MS3 12222
WMR3 12556
WMR2 12491
WMR1 12355
WPP 12258
WMS1 12201
WMS2 12134
WMS3 11988
MMR3 1.2723
MMR2 1.2512
MMR1 1.2302
MPP 1.2142
MMS1 1.1932
MMS2 1.1772
MMS3 1.1562
By fxwintrades
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Eur comment:
Dealers are getting a bit nervous as the market adopts a near-universal
buy-the-dips mentality. Talk of Middle Eastern bids on dips have been
heard already but real money accounts are predominately sellers so far.
Dealers are marveling at the post-data price action as EUR/USD fell t0
1.2362 immediately after the release before bouncing to 1.2390 before
selling off in earnest. Another nervy bounce to 1.2365 was seen from
the low 1.2340s. Dealers see buying interest still in the 1.2230/40
window with more toward 1.2310. 1.2300 has contained dips since the
Middle East kicked off the buying frenzy on Wednesday. Stops lie below.
Dealers are getting a bit nervous as the market adopts a near-universal
buy-the-dips mentality. Talk of Middle Eastern bids on dips have been
heard already but real money accounts are predominately sellers so far.
Dealers are marveling at the post-data price action as EUR/USD fell t0
1.2362 immediately after the release before bouncing to 1.2390 before
selling off in earnest. Another nervy bounce to 1.2365 was seen from
the low 1.2340s. Dealers see buying interest still in the 1.2230/40
window with more toward 1.2310. 1.2300 has contained dips since the
Middle East kicked off the buying frenzy on Wednesday. Stops lie below.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
New voices on Euroland
This sound picture of my little French town has changed compared to the same period last year. To the delight of us residents, the organizers of the music festival "Nuits de Sud" have learned that their public can hear the so-called music quite well at 120dB. The 220dB they broadcasted last year probably cost them ticket sales. Why, the public could hear the concert more than five miles away without paying.
But the sound picture has changes in another way. New languages are mixing with the usual Dutch, English, Japanese, Scandinavian etc. in the little streets here. Czech, Hungarian, Slovak and Slovine are echoing along the walls of the narrow streets. For the past ten years venture capital has traveled east. Judging by the brouhaha of Slavic voices I hear now through my open window some of that money is now returning. If this begins to show up in the statistics this fall, the Return of the Euro may come with force when it comes. So far it seems to have found good support at 1.2350 as we predicted. In 30 minutes NFP numbers and more will be published. Traders are holding their breath (or rather the finger on the mouse button). Let's see what happens. Have a good week-end.
This sound picture of my little French town has changed compared to the same period last year. To the delight of us residents, the organizers of the music festival "Nuits de Sud" have learned that their public can hear the so-called music quite well at 120dB. The 220dB they broadcasted last year probably cost them ticket sales. Why, the public could hear the concert more than five miles away without paying.
But the sound picture has changes in another way. New languages are mixing with the usual Dutch, English, Japanese, Scandinavian etc. in the little streets here. Czech, Hungarian, Slovak and Slovine are echoing along the walls of the narrow streets. For the past ten years venture capital has traveled east. Judging by the brouhaha of Slavic voices I hear now through my open window some of that money is now returning. If this begins to show up in the statistics this fall, the Return of the Euro may come with force when it comes. So far it seems to have found good support at 1.2350 as we predicted. In 30 minutes NFP numbers and more will be published. Traders are holding their breath (or rather the finger on the mouse button). Let's see what happens. Have a good week-end.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
EUR/USD is consolidating around 1.2375 after a brief foray above 1.2400
to trigger the latest flurry of barriers. Dealers see an afternoon of
modest position adjustment ahead of tomorrow"s payrolls. Heighten
terrorism fears in the wake of the Zawahri tape this morning are adding
to USD woes as his appearances are generally followed by major attacks
against US interests or those of its allies in the weeks following its
broadcast. 1.2410 is next technical resistance in EUR/USD though most
are more focused on 1.2490. Markets are approaching overbought status
after a strong break to the upside following the break of 1.2250
yesterday. 1.2350 is intraday support on dips.
to trigger the latest flurry of barriers. Dealers see an afternoon of
modest position adjustment ahead of tomorrow"s payrolls. Heighten
terrorism fears in the wake of the Zawahri tape this morning are adding
to USD woes as his appearances are generally followed by major attacks
against US interests or those of its allies in the weeks following its
broadcast. 1.2410 is next technical resistance in EUR/USD though most
are more focused on 1.2490. Markets are approaching overbought status
after a strong break to the upside following the break of 1.2250
yesterday. 1.2350 is intraday support on dips.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Daily Comment
Fibo talk
Yesterday we showed our subscribers a chart with Fibonacci
retracement lines. We don't do that often. We just don't believe that
there is a natural or even divine order that is governed by these
simple ratios. However, they are ok to use as a reference, and if
enough traders believe there is resistance at a certain line, there
just might be so. On the eur/usd chart below we have added
retracement lines to the trend line from April high to July low. See
how nicely it fits the theory: strong resistance at 1.2340. Just as
we have seen since last night today. Asians tried to break it, but it
will take more than one attempt. When the day closes above 1.2350 we
will assume the 38.2% fibo line is broken and the next target is the
50% line at 1.2490.
Fibo talk
Yesterday we showed our subscribers a chart with Fibonacci
retracement lines. We don't do that often. We just don't believe that
there is a natural or even divine order that is governed by these
simple ratios. However, they are ok to use as a reference, and if
enough traders believe there is resistance at a certain line, there
just might be so. On the eur/usd chart below we have added
retracement lines to the trend line from April high to July low. See
how nicely it fits the theory: strong resistance at 1.2340. Just as
we have seen since last night today. Asians tried to break it, but it
will take more than one attempt. When the day closes above 1.2350 we
will assume the 38.2% fibo line is broken and the next target is the
50% line at 1.2490.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
Re: Observar
accgil Escreveu:como é possível ficar a observar este topico?
Como assim?
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
MATSYS-R or Reversal Triggers
This is a Reversal System, is a Trading System that we normally don’t use, because we only use the normal system, like with Stop Loss (SL) and Target Price (TP), but with MATSYS-R we don't use SL, because we are always in trading, how?
For example, we Buy 1 lot at 2848, and don't put SL and we only wait for the next new signal, always one Short signal after one Long (buy), and this signal comes, we will Short 2 lots, so this way we will stay with one lot always, and wait again for new signal, in this case, will be again one Long.
Example:
Buy 1 lot - Sell 2 lots - Buy 2 lots - Sell 2 lots and at 21:00 GMT (or before) we close all signals.
MATSYS-T or Trend Following
This is the Trend Following, is the Trading System with a Stop Loss, but never with Target Price. We think that is a interest Trading System, is easy to use, and we only change SL to protect our position, until the sell or Cover signal come to close our position.
Example:
GBP/USD: SHORT AT 1.8452 STOP LOSS AT 1.8481
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8432
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8426
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8421
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8418
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8409
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8400
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8394
GBP/USD: COVER AT 1.8378 (Closed)
If you have some doubt or need more information, please contact me.
This is a Reversal System, is a Trading System that we normally don’t use, because we only use the normal system, like with Stop Loss (SL) and Target Price (TP), but with MATSYS-R we don't use SL, because we are always in trading, how?
For example, we Buy 1 lot at 2848, and don't put SL and we only wait for the next new signal, always one Short signal after one Long (buy), and this signal comes, we will Short 2 lots, so this way we will stay with one lot always, and wait again for new signal, in this case, will be again one Long.
Example:
Buy 1 lot - Sell 2 lots - Buy 2 lots - Sell 2 lots and at 21:00 GMT (or before) we close all signals.
MATSYS-T or Trend Following
This is the Trend Following, is the Trading System with a Stop Loss, but never with Target Price. We think that is a interest Trading System, is easy to use, and we only change SL to protect our position, until the sell or Cover signal come to close our position.
Example:
GBP/USD: SHORT AT 1.8452 STOP LOSS AT 1.8481
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8432
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8426
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8421
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8418
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8409
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8400
GBP/USD: STOP LOSS NOW AT 1.8394
GBP/USD: COVER AT 1.8378 (Closed)
If you have some doubt or need more information, please contact me.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe
German Factory Orders for June are expected at 10.00AM GMT, provisions are for an unchanged monthly performance, due to the strong rise in May, YoY change is expected up strong at 3.7%.
Everybody will be waiting for the Rate announcement at 11.00GMT by the BOE and after the much talked minutes and vote at the previous MPC meeting it is fair to expect a quarter-percent ease to bring the UK short-term rates to 4.5%.
Such a move should be priced in by the market and not pull any sellers, I’d rather expect a short-term spike of the currency after the announcement.
The ECB is also holding its meeting today and any rate-announcement is expected for 11.45GMT. I think European Central Bankers have made it rather clear in June, that political pressure alone will not be sufficient in changing their stand on stability, expect rates to be left unchanged at 2%.
US Weekly Jobless Claims are due at 12.30GMT. With July Non-farm payroll on the agenda tomorrow, markets may react sensitive to any strong deviation from the expected 315k for the final July-week.
Everybody will be waiting for the Rate announcement at 11.00GMT by the BOE and after the much talked minutes and vote at the previous MPC meeting it is fair to expect a quarter-percent ease to bring the UK short-term rates to 4.5%.
Such a move should be priced in by the market and not pull any sellers, I’d rather expect a short-term spike of the currency after the announcement.
The ECB is also holding its meeting today and any rate-announcement is expected for 11.45GMT. I think European Central Bankers have made it rather clear in June, that political pressure alone will not be sufficient in changing their stand on stability, expect rates to be left unchanged at 2%.
US Weekly Jobless Claims are due at 12.30GMT. With July Non-farm payroll on the agenda tomorrow, markets may react sensitive to any strong deviation from the expected 315k for the final July-week.
- Mensagens: 94
- Registado: 21/7/2005 11:36
- Localização: Europe