Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

[Infoo]

bem, complicadix.... está-se aqui a tentar quebrar R com o valor "louco" de ontem do core-ppi, e com o core-cpi de hoje abaixo da "previsão colocada lá acima de 0.3%".... a ideia a quente é que isto 'tá resolvido.... e rezem para que ninguém venha com a ideia que aquilo até arredondou para baixo porque fizeram 0.255%=0.2%

entretanto o imobiliário continua a arrefecer, e falar-se em "bolha a rebentar" continua a ser tabu... esperemos que não passe disso




WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - Core consumer inflation eased back in July, rising just 0.2% after four months of 0.3% gains, the Labor Department said Wednesday.
Core prices - which exclude food and energy costs - have risen 2.7% in the past year, the highest since late 2001.
Meanwhile, soaring energy costs pushed the total CPI up 0.4% in July, as expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch.
The economists were expecting core prices to rise 0.3%, although a sizable number were predicting the 0.2% rise that was reported.
Energy prices rose 2.9% in July. Shelter prices rose 0.4%.




ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. housing starts fall 2.5% in July; Building permits at lowest level since Aug. 2002
By Greg Robb, MarketWatch
Last Update: 8:31 AM ET Aug 16, 2006

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - New construction of U.S. homes fell 2.5% in July to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.80 million, the Commerce Department said Wednesday.

This is the fifth decline in housing starts out of the last six months.

Building permits - which foreshadow future activity - plunged 6.5% to 1.75 million annual units. This is the sixth straight monthly decline and the largest since September 1999. Permits are at their lowest level since August 2002.

Economists surveyed by MarketWatch were looking for a smaller decline to about 1.82 million starts in July.

June's housing starts were revised lower to 1.84 million from 1.85 million.

On a year-over-year basis, housing starts are down 13.3% in July.

Economists generally agree that the housing market is rolling over. There remains a debate about the magnitude of the decline and its impact of the overall economy.

The confidence of U.S. home builders collapsed in August, falling to the lowest level since February 1991, the National Association of Home Builders reported.

The National Association of Realtors in a monthly forecast said it expects housing starts should decline by 9.1 percent to 1.88 million in 2006.

In July, starts of single-family homes fell 2.3% to a 1.45 million pace. Starts of multifamily homes fell 3.4% to 343,000.

Starts fell in three of the four regions of the nation in July, led by the 7.0% decline in the tiny Northeast market and a 2.9% drop in the West. Starts in the South fell 2.5%. Construction in the Midwest market rose 0.7%.

Sales data for July will be released in two weeks.

The government's housing data are subject to large sampling and other statistical errors

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8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. CORE CPI UP AT FASTEST ANNUAL PACE SINCE DEC. 2001
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY REAL WEEKLY EARNINGS DOWN 0.1% YEAR-OVER-YEAR
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. CPI UP 4.1% YEAR-OVER-YEAR
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY OWNERS EQUIVALENT RENT UP 0.4%
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY CPI SHELTER PRICES UP 0.4%
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY CPI ENERGY PRICES UP 2.9%
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. CORE CONSUMER PRICES UP 2.7% YEAR-OVER-YEAR
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY CORE CPI UP 0.2% VS. 0.3% EXPECTED
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY CPI UP 0.4% AS EXPECTED

8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY HOUSING STARTS DOWN 13.3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JUNE STARTS REVISED DOWN TO 1.84 MLN VS 1.85 MLN
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY BUILDING PERMITS DOWN 6.5%, BIGGEST SINCE SEPT '99
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY HOUSING STARTS AT LOWEST LEVEL SINCE NOV. 2004
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY HOUSING STARTS WEAKER THAN 1.82 MLN EXPECTED
8:30 AM ET 8/16/06 U.S. JULY HOUSING STARTS DOWN 2.5% TO 1.80