Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

[vieira]

...e depois o FED começa a baixar as taxas. E depois a economia abranda e depois os custos das materias continuam a aumentar, depois vêm os profit warnings das empresas e depois e depois....

[Infoo]

welll... começa a juntar.se tudo

- que o hourly earnigs é preocupante do ponto de vista de medo inflação/taxas

- commodities, e principalmente o petróleo dar simais denão acalmar.... mais lenha.... lembram-se que o início de quedas fazumas semanas começou com uma conversa destas

- no pré temos 3M e Starbuks a mandar warnings de earnings.... e são empresas com um sinal do que o "pixoal" gasta... entretanto nas techks a AMD ontem ànoite deu a sua machadada ao dizer qvendasvão ficar abaixo do previsto

[Zorro]

já não entendo nada...porra!! Z

[Infoo]

bem, e os futuros começaram-se a espalhar

pelas 14:25
s&p 1279 -2.5 -0.20%
daq 1554 -11.89 -0.75%


vamos ver início da sessão

[vieira]

Isto só prova que a economia está a abrandar a sério. Daqui a uns meses vão desejar ter mais assalariados do que o esperado

[Infoo]

8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. JUNE AVERAGE WORKWEEK RISES TO 33.9 HOURS
8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. JUNE AVERAGE HOURLY EARNINGS UP 0.5%

8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. JUNE FACTORY JOBS UP 15,000; SERVICES UP 106,000
8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. JUNE RETAIL JOBS DOWN 7,000
8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. JUNE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE 4.6%, UNCHANGED VS MAY
8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. MAY NONFARM PAYROLLS UP REV 92,000 VS 75,000 PREV
8:30 AM ET 7/7/06 U.S. JUNE NONFARM PAYROLLS UP 121,000 VS 174,000


bem, a "loucura" do ADP survey não se cumpriu... futuros passaram, em relação ao fair-value, de ligeiramente negativos pata algo positivo... mas alegria e furor com os dados.... demarcando uma trend de queda de força na capacidade de contratação eeeeee ali a subidinha jeitosa dos hourly earnings a preocupar

agora, pelas 13:50

s&p 1286,00 +4.50 +0.35%
daq 1568,25 +2.36 +0.15%

[Zorro]

Isto vai abrir em força lá fora!A próxima semana vai ser em grande... desde que os palhaços dos coreanos estejam quietos... Z

[henriques.nmp]

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Employers added a smaller-than-expected 121,000 new workers to their payrolls last month, but the jobless rate stayed at a five-year low of 4.6 percent and average hourly earnings rose, the Labor Department said on Friday.

The report was a modest improvement over May, when employers added an upwardly revised 92,000 jobs and lead the market to pare down expectations of continued interest-rate increases from the Federal Reserve.

Still, June's wage gains may figure in the inflation-wary central bank's thinking. Average hourly earnings rose 8 cents, or 0.5 percent, while the average hourly work week climbed back to match a 3- year high struck in April.

The 3.9 percent year-over-year gain in average hourly earnings was the largest in five years, the Labor Department said.



The unexpectedly small jobs gain could have an impact on financial markets, where many were betting on a big jump in payrolls.

Economists raised their expectations of job growth on Wednesday and the median estimate in a Reuters poll rose to 185,000 jobs, up from an earlier forecast of 155,000, after a relatively new private indicator called the ADP National Employment Report said private-sector employers created an estimated 368,000 new jobs in June.

The Fed last week raised interest rates a 17th straight time by a quarter-percentage point to 5.25 percent.

The U.S. economy has slowed since the first quarter and higher gas prices, rising interest rates, and a slowdown in house price appreciation are expected to make Americans more cautious about spending.