Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

[Info....]

10:00am 11/18/04 U.S. OCT LEADING INDICATORS DOWN 0.3% VS -0.1% EXPECTED
10:00am 11/18/04 7 OF 10 U.S. LEADING INDICATORS FALL IN OCTOBER
10:00am 11/18/04 U.S. LEADING INDICATORS DOWN 5 MONTHS IN A ROW
10:00am 11/18/04 U.S. ECONOMY 'LOSING STEAM,' CONFERENCE BOARD SAYS

ECONOMIC REPORT: Leading indicators fall 5th straight month; U.S. economy losing steam, Conference Board says
By Rex Nutting, CBS.MarketWatch.com
Last Update: 10:03 AM ET Nov. 18, 2004

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) - The U.S. economy is losing steam, the Conference Board said Thursday, reporting that the index of U.S. leading economic indicators fell 0.3 percent in October, the fifth straight decrease.

The string of declines "is a clear signal that the economy is losing steam, and may start off 2005 with a relatively weak pace of economic activity," said Ken Goldstein, economist for the board.

A separate business confidence survey "suggests that worries about where the economy is heading may cause some strategic plans to be put on hold," Goldstein said. "And the signal will be much stronger if consumers turn more cautious, just as the holiday season approaches."

The September leading index was revised lower to a 0.3 percent decline from a 0.1 percent drop previously.

Seven of the 10 leading indicators fell in October, led by consumer expectations, money supply and interest rate spreads. Vendor performance, factory workweek, building permits and new orders for capital goods also contributed to the decline in the leading index.

Three indicators gained ground in October: initial claims for jobless benefits, orders for consumer goods and stock prices.

In the past six months, the leading index has dropped 0.7 percent, with three of the 10 indicators strengthening.

The coincident index rose 0.3 percent in October, with all four indicators rising. The lagging index increased 0.2 percent in October.

[Stratega]

U.S. October Leading Economic Indicators Index Falls 0.3%


Nov. 18 (Bloomberg) -- The index of leading U.S. economic indicators fell 0.3 percent in October, a fifth consecutive drop, signaling the economy may not accelerate in coming months.

The decline in the Conference Board's gauge of how the economy will perform over the next three to six months follows a revised 0.3 percent decrease in September that was lower than originally reported. The index has been falling since June.

Consumers' economic outlook slumped last month as oil prices reached a record, stock prices dropped and the presidential candidates attacked each other with renewed vigor in the weeks before the election. Energy prices have since retreated and an uncontested vote boosted stocks and confidence this month. The leading index is down 1.4 percent at an annual pace over the last six months, short of the amount that would signal recession.

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pi ... refer=home

[TRSM]

Dados USA : Leading Indicators : -0.3% (Est. -0.1%)

LJ Carregosa SA