Re: Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA)

Mesma comparação para as "7 magníficas" em lugar dos maiores chipmakers.

Fórum dedicado à discussão sobre os Mercados Financeiros - Bolsas de Valores
http://teste.caldeiraodebolsa.jornaldenegocios.pt/
http://teste.caldeiraodebolsa.jornaldenegocios.pt/viewtopic.php?f=3&t=94018
Pequim quer reduzir a dependência da China dos semicondutores norte-americanos e, para isso, está a aquecer o mercado doméstico. A Cambricon sai desta história como a principal beneficiada, com as ações da empresa a duplicarem de valor em apenas um mês.
Opcard Escreveu:Até quando? Tem 2 incertezas no caminho vendas de chips de IA na China e capacidade de gigantes como Google e Amazon de continuar investir em hardware de IA sem limite .
A maior cotada do mundo em termos de capitalização bolsista superou ligeiramente as estimativas dos analistas nas receitas do segundo trimestre do exercício fiscal ao faturar 46.743 milhões de dólares.
Nvidia revenue jumps 56% on robust AI demand
US chip designer has become world’s most valuable company off the back of the artificial intelligence boom
China seeks to triple output of AI chips in race with the US
Fabrication plants serving Huawei push to increase production as US cuts off access to Nvidia’s top processors
China’s chipmakers are seeking to triple the country’s total output of artificial intelligence processors next year, as domestic groups such as DeepSeek push for the semiconductors needed to match western rivals in developing the most advanced AI.
One fabrication plant dedicated to producing Huawei’s AI processors is scheduled to start production as soon as the end of this year, while two more are due to launch next year, said two people with knowledge of the plans.
While the new plants are designed to specifically support Huawei, it is not clear who exactly owns them. Huawei denied having plans to launch its own fabs and did not provide further details.
(...)
“Nvidia’s lead is not created by a single company, but a collaborative effort by the whole western community and industry,” Liang told Chinese media last year. “China’s AI development needs the same ecosystem. China needs someone to stand at the forefront of such development.”
A Nuro foi fundada em 2016 por dois engenheiros que saíram de um projeto na Google. Desde então que já receberam financiamento de empresas como Uber, Nvidia e SoftBank.
MarcoAntonio Escreveu:Nota: o H20 é um chip da arquitectura Hopper e uma versão "reduzida" do H200, orientado (mais) para a inferência (menos cuda cores, menos memória e largura de banda que o H200), menos para treino de modelos. Tem um desempenho próximo do H100, mas com menos custos energéticos, sendo mais eficiente, e é suplantado pelo H200 e pelos Blackwell (B200, etc), especialmente no contexto do treino de novos modelos AI.
Beijing turns against Nvidia’s AI chip after ‘insulting’ Lutnick remarks
Comments by US commerce secretary trigger Chinese regulatory effort to stop tech firms buying H20 processors
Beijing’s move to restrict sales of Nvidia’s China-specific artificial intelligence processor was prompted by remarks from US commerce secretary Howard Lutnick about chip exports that officials found “insulting”.
A group of Chinese regulators have mobilised in an effort to dissuade domestic tech companies from acquiring the H20 — a watered-down processor widely used for artificial intelligence in China.
According to people with knowledge of the regulatory action, the Cyberspace Administration of China (CAC), the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) moved in response to comments made by Lutnick last month.
“We don’t sell them our best stuff, not our second-best stuff, not even our third-best,” Lutnick told CNBC on July 15, the day after the Trump administration lifted export controls, implemented in April, on H20 sales.
“You want to sell the Chinese enough that their developers get addicted to the American technology stack, that’s the thinking,” he added.
Some of China’s senior leaders found the comments “insulting”, leading to the policymakers to seek ways to restrict Chinese tech firms from buying the processors, according to two people with knowledge of the latest regulatory decision-making.
As a result, Chinese tech groups held off or significantly downsized their H20 orders, according to those with knowledge of their plans.
The moves have come as a blow to Nvidia, whose chief executive Jensen Huang last month visited Beijing and committed to stay competitive in the country despite growing geopolitical tensions with the US.
(...)
Chinese regulators have urged more use of domestic chips in recent years, but tech giants from Alibaba to ByteDance argued that their AI development would be impaired without Nvidia’s chips, hurting China’s chance to win the technology arms race with the US.
However, some close to the tech companies said they have now become more accepting of a switch, especially for “inference”, in which AI systems respond to requests from users.
That shift came after testing and adopting chips from domestic producers led by Huawei and Cambricon at a larger scale, following Washington’s initial April ban on exporting Nvidia’s H20s.
“Lutnick’s speech gives the coalition [of regulators] one more reason to intensify its efforts to push tech firms to use China’s own chips,” said a person close to the policymakers.
(...)
Some Chinese tech companies have held off their H20 orders also because they want see if the China specific Blackwell chip, which potentially has better performance than H20, would become available, according to people with knowledge of their thinking.
Some Beijing policymakers are pushing to ban foreign chips altogether for inference, which accounts for most AI demand, according to a person recently summoned for a meeting with them.
(...)
Esta condição terá sido crucial na obtenção de licenças de exportação e venda de semicondutores para a China.
Nos meses seguintes ao aperto das restrições à exportação de semicondutores da Nvidia apresentadas em abril, pelo menos mil milhões de dólares em 'chips' chegaram a território chinês.
(...)
A Financial Times analysis of dozens of sales contracts, company filings and multiple people with direct knowledge of the deals reveals that Nvidia’s B200 has become the most sought-after — and widely available — chip in a rampant Chinese black market for American semiconductors.
The processor is widely used by US powerhouses such as OpenAI, Google and Meta to train their latest AI systems, but banned for sale to China.
In May, multiple Chinese distributors started selling B200s to suppliers of data centres that serve Chinese AI groups, according to documents reviewed by the FT.
(...)
In the three months beforehand, Chinese distributors from Guangdong, Zhejiang and Anhui provinces sold Nvidia’s B200s, as well as other restricted processors such as the H100 and H200.
Analistas apontam para 20 mil milhões de dólares de receitas totais no país, já este ano, com o levantamento das restrições na exportação da linha de chips H20.
Howard Lutnick says he's fine with Nvidia selling its 'fourth best' AI chips to China
The Trump White House says it's content to allow Nvidia to tap into the lucrative Chinese market.
"We don't sell them our best stuff, not our second best stuff, not even our third best," Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said on CNBC Tuesday afternoon. "I think fourth best is where we have come out that we're cool."
Nvidia announced on Monday that the Trump administration has signaled it will allow the company to sell its China-specific H20 chip once more. The news sent shares of the world's most valuable company, which eclipsed $4 trillion in market cap last week, even higher.
Nvidia's H20 was designed to be technologically inferior. As Lutnick said, the company also sells three other chips that far surpass the H20's power. Nvidia is already preparing its transition from Blackwell (its most powerful chip) to Blackwell Ultra and has plans for its next superchip, "Vera Rubin."
(...)
NirSup Escreveu:Meu caro Amigo,
Agarre-se à essência das coisas e não se prenda nos pormenores.
E a essência do que escrevi no meu primeiro post foi que, apesar da proibição dos EUA na venda de chips da NVIDIA para a China, o negócio segue de vento em popa.
Essa era a essência da minha mensagem.
O resto são peanuts ou FAITES DAIVERS.
By Nirvana
NirSup Escreveu:Meu caro,
Eu percebo tanto de chips da NVIDIA como de lagares de azeite.
Limitei-me a transcrever o teor das muitas notícias que saíram nos últimos dias sobre este assunto.
Se os chips, em causa, não fossem de ponta, certamente que os EUA não teriam proibido a sua exportação para a China.
Nirsup Escreveu:(...) chips H100 e H200 (os chips de topo da NVIDIA) (...)