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Bear market rally in action

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Re: bear rally

por AC Investor Blog » 12/12/2008 8:05

tiagopt Escreveu: E ainda estou para ver o que é decidido acerca do Bailout! Se aquilo é chumbado, é a marretada nos cornos do touro :twisted:


Aí vem a Marretada !!!! :mrgreen:

"The Senate rejected a $14 billion bailout plan for U.S. automakers, in effect ending congressional efforts to aid General Motors Corp. and Chrysler LLC, which may run out of cash early next year.

“I dread looking at Wall Street tomorrow,” Majority Leader Harry Reid said before the vote in Washington. “It’s not going to be a pleasant sight.”

The Bush administration will “evaluate our options in light of the breakdown in Congress,” spokesman Tony Fratto said.

The Senate thwarted the bailout plan when a bid to cut off debate on the bill the House passed yesterday fell short of the required 60 votes. The vote on ending the debate was 52 in favor, 35 against. Earlier, negotiations on an alternate bailout plan failed.

GM said in a statement, “We are deeply disappointed that agreement could not be reached tonight in the Senate despite the best bipartisan efforts. We will assess all of our options to continue our restructuring and to obtain the means to weather the current economic crisis.”

Reid said millions of Americans, “not only the autoworkers, but people who sell cars, car dealerships, people who work on cars,” will be affected. “It’s going to be a very, very bad Christmas for a lot of people as a result of what takes place here tonight.”

Asian stocks and U.S. index futures immediately began falling after Reid’s comments. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index slumped 2.2 percent to 86.13 as of 12:33 p.m. Tokyo time, while March futures on the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index slipped 3.4 percent.

‘Deja Vu’

“Remember when the first financial bailout bill failed” in Congress in late September, said Martin Marnick, head of equity trading at Helmsman Global Trading Ltd. in Hong Kong. “The markets in Asia started the slide. Deja vu, this looks like it’s happening again.” Congress approved a financial-rescue plan weeks later.

Senator George Voinovich, an Ohio Republican, urged the Bush administration to save the automakers by tapping the $700 billion bailout fund approved earlier this year for the financial industry.

“If this is the end, then I think they have to step in and do it -- it’s needed even though they don’t want to do it,” Voinovich said.

Connecticut Democrat Christopher Dodd, who helped lead the negotiations, said the final unresolved issue was a Republican demand that unionized autoworkers accept a reduction in wages next year, rather than later, to match those of U.S. autoworkers who work for foreign-owned companies, such as Toyota Motor Corp.

‘Saddened’

“More than saddened, I’m worried this evening about what we’re doing with an iconic industry,” Dodd said. “In the midst of deeply troubling economic times we are going to add to that substantially.”

Republican Bob Corker of Tennessee, who negotiated with Dodd, said, “I think there’s still a way to make this happen.”

Earlier today, White House spokeswoman Dana Perino warned that an agreement was necessary for the U.S. economy.

“We believe the economy is in such a weakened state right now that adding another possible loss of 1 million jobs is just something” it cannot “sustain at the moment,” Perino said.

Also earlier, South Dakota Republican John Thune suggested that if talks collapsed, the Bush administration might aid automakers with funds from the financial-rescue plan approved by Congress in October.

“I think that is where they go next,” Thune said. “I wouldn’t be surprised if they explore all options.” The Bush administration thus far has opposed that option, which was favored by Democrats. "
AC Investor Blog
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Análises Técnicas de activos cotados em Wall Street. Os artigos do AC Investor podem também ser encontrados diariamente nos portais financeiros, Daily Markets, Benzinga, Minyanville, Solar Feeds e Wall Street Pit, sendo editor e contribuidor. Segue-me também no Twitter : http://twitter.com/#!/ACInvestorBlog e subscreve a minha newsletter.
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Re: bear rally

por tiagopt2 » 12/12/2008 1:02

Clinico Escreveu:Não podia estar mais de acordo.

Abraço
Clinico

E vão dois :wink:
Tocaste nos pontos fundamentais, AC. Acredito que dure até ao final do ano, mas não mais. Quando a liquidez regressar, acaba-se este rally num instante. E ainda estou para ver o que é decidido acerca do Bailout! Se aquilo é chumbado, é a marretada nos cornos do touro :twisted:
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Re: Bear market rally in action

por RoundersT » 12/12/2008 0:56

Billy Ray Valentine Escreveu:The specs are buying...the big guys are already in holidays... by OSCAR


Ao Oscar só falta dizer que o mercado está errático.
Isso dos specs é muita conversa. Interessa o volume, preço e sentimento o resto nada conta.
Eu já vi um video ou dois do homem.
Diz algumas coisa acertadas mas também diz muita asneira.
Abraço
Rounders
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Analises ao principais indices diariamente. +-50 updates por mês.
"O mercado não é uma prova de 100 metro é uma maratona".Carlos Júlio
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Re: bear rally

por Billy Ray Valentine » 12/12/2008 0:44

Hoofstradmus Says…hoofy and boo

http://www.minyanville.com/mvtv/
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"..Ter dinheiro parado é como deixar o sexo para a velhice.." - Warren Buffett
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bear rally

por Clinico » 12/12/2008 0:39

Não podia estar mais de acordo.

Abraço
Clinico
 
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Re: Bear market rally in action

por Billy Ray Valentine » 12/12/2008 0:36

The specs are buying...the big guys are already in holidays... by OSCAR
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"..Ter dinheiro parado é como deixar o sexo para a velhice.." - Warren Buffett
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Bear market rally in action

por AC Investor Blog » 12/12/2008 0:34

We are living consecutive days of gains in the US indices without fundamental reasons. People are buying stocks just believing they are cheap, But are they really cheap? I’m not convinced at all. The big slowdown in housing, the falloff in retail sales and the vertical drop in the LEI (leading economic indicators) are already signalling a deep recession and more troubles for companies ahead.

The company’s fundamentals keep being under pressure and will continue to deteriorate as profit margins get squeezed from higher costs and the inability to pass those costs on through higher pricing. Everyday more companies cut its forecasts and sales. The longer employment numbers persist, the greater the danger that economic activity will contract even further. I suggest that we are under a bear market rally instead a new start of a bull market. The current rally is nothing more than a bear market rally and nothing more. The momentum behind it has been terrible, which is further evidence of more trouble ahead. Be careful with your long positions, the coming days for the economy will be even worse than currently are and we might see a test of a low before a new fundamental and real bull market starts, that's my opinion but only time will tell if I'm right. The markets are now moving just on hopes.

Be careful!!!

By AC Investor posted on Wednesday
( http://ac-investor.blogspot.com/2008/12 ... ction.html )
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Análises Técnicas de activos cotados em Wall Street. Os artigos do AC Investor podem também ser encontrados diariamente nos portais financeiros, Daily Markets, Benzinga, Minyanville, Solar Feeds e Wall Street Pit, sendo editor e contribuidor. Segue-me também no Twitter : http://twitter.com/#!/ACInvestorBlog e subscreve a minha newsletter.
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