Exposição dos bancos às obrigações da Lehman B >>>
O efeito ao retardador esta a começar a aparecer em varios bancos, alguns bancos europeus ja começaram a revelar que têm quebras mas os nossos ainda guardam o segredo :
até quando ?
WALL STREET IS EXPECTING that the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers Holdings will wipe out common and preferred stockholders and that even bondholders won't receive full value.
Lehman common shares were down 95%, to a mere 18 cents at midday, while the company's series J preferred stock was off $8 to just 20 cents, roughly 1% of its face value of $25.
Lehman's unsecured debt was trading at just 35 cents on the dollar while the company's subordinated debt was changing hands at only 5 cents on the dollar.
The markets are discounting a pretty dire scenario for Lehman as it seeks to liquidate its $600 billion balance sheet. The company ended the second quarter with more than $19 billion of common equity, $8 billion of preferred stock, $17 billion of subordinated debt and $130 billion of senior debt.
The bull case for Lehman debt securities is that the firm's net assets are $310 billion, excluding highly liquid securities that presumably are worth their carrying value.
For Lehman senior bondholders to suffer a loss, the $44 billion total of common equity, preferred and subordinated debt would have to be wiped out. This seems like a pretty draconian scenario given Lehman's $310 billion of net assets at the end of third quarter, implying a loss nearly 15 cents on the dollar for all $310 billion of net assets.
The firm does have about $45 billion of troublesome real-estate assets, but a chunk of those assets, some $17 billion of residential securities, appears to be marked very conservatively with so-called Alt-A and sub-prime loans being carried below 40 cents on the dollar.
Lehman had about $41 billion of so-called Level 3 assets for which there are no ready prices, at the end of the second quarter. The current trading of Lehman debt essentially assumes a complete wipe-out on the Level 3 assets.
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