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MensagemEnviado: 16/6/2006 15:07
por ptmasters
pedras11 Escreveu:Se alguém está á espera que a possível subida dos mercados seja tão rápida como a descida está bem enganado.


100% de acordo

1 ab

MensagemEnviado: 16/6/2006 14:42
por pedras11
Se alguém está á espera que a possível subida dos mercados seja tão rápida como a descida está bem enganado.

cont

MensagemEnviado: 16/6/2006 14:24
por Infoo
por falar em atirar mais petardos para a fogueira da "Inflation fear"


8:45 AM ET 6/16/06 LEHMAN SEES SLOWER GROWTH, HIGHER INFLATION
8:45 AM ET 6/16/06 LEHMAN BROS. NOW SEES FEDERAL FUNDS GOING TO 5.75

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) -- The federal funds rate will likely rise to 5.75% by October despite slower expected U.S. economic growth, economists at Lehman Bros. said Friday, penciling in an additional rate hike from what they had expected.

The reason? They expect core inflation rates to soar to 2.7% early next year, well above the Federal Reserve's comfort zone.

Lehman cut its forecast for gross domestic product by 0.2 percentage points to an average of 3% over the next four quarters.

The fed funds target rate is currently 5%.

e o medo é sempre o mesmo....

MensagemEnviado: 16/6/2006 14:09
por Infoo
nestes dias/semanas é "inflation fear"... buuuuuu

a Ásia foi na euforia de ontem dos States, a Europa começou euforica e brrrrrrrrr... esvaziou.

ontem o Berny lá se esperou no seu discurso a não mandar mais lenha para a fogueira, mas hoje de manhã lá estava o Sr Willian Poole a mandar petardos lá para os lados da Coreia:


THE FED- William Poole: Data may not reflect inflation pressures
By Steve Goldstein, MarketWatch
Last Update: 5:51 AM ET Jun 16, 2006

LONDON (MarketWatch) -- Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President William Poole warned Friday that rising gasoline and oil prices may be adding to inflation pressures in a way not detected by current data.

"Statistical studies to detect pass-through from recent energy price increases have failed to show significant effects in U.S. price data, but stories about widespread pass-through are becoming increasingly common," Poole said in comments delivered to a South Korean banking conference.

"We may -- and I emphasize 'may' because my purpose is to make a general point and not to conduct a full analysis of the current situation -- face more inflation pressure than currently shows up in formal data," Poole said.

Poole's comments come against a backdrop of rising rate-hike expectations, with Fed futures pointing to a likely quarter-point increase at the June 28-29 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee. See more U.S. economic coverage.

Fears of further rate hikes have been stoked by comments from Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke, who warned that core inflation, if sustained, is at or above levels consistent with price stability. See more Fed coverage.

Bernanke also addressed energy prices in a speech on Thursday, saying the Fed was closely watching the impact of high energy prices.

"These developments bear watching," Bernanke said in a speech to the Economic Club of Chicago. See full story.

If the Fed does hike rates to 5.25%, it would mark the central bank's seventeenth straight tightening.

Poole's comments were made in a speech about the usefulness of anecdotal information. He made further comments that may add to perceptions of the Fed's hawkish stance.

"In a low inflation environment, the stability of expectations of long-run inflation is certainly one, and perhaps the single most important, element in the continued success of the low inflation policy," he said.

At a question-and-answer session, Poole was reported by wire services at the event to have said he has an open mind heading into the June meeting.

But Poole stressed that if inflation continues at present levels, the Fed will need policies to continue it from rising further.