Se há por aqui alguém que negoceia o gás natural ou alguma acção do sector - eu tenho a TMR que é baratinha!

- talvez seja de considerar esta visão muito bullish dos magos das Elliot Waves... é que eu agora não falo noutra coisa!
Pudera! À conta dos moços é só trades atrás de trades positivos no Euro-Dólar... pena é que muitos dos lucros sejam só a fingir... mas os reais já estão p'ra vir!
O gráfico anexo vem acompanhado do seguinte longo comentário... contrarian!

NATURAL GAS - One particular market where we don't have to be non-committal is one we do not normally discuss. We rarely feature the energy markets in these pages, but sometimes an opportunity arises that is so compelling we feel obligated to alert you to the situation. This appears to be the case right now in Natural Gas. As the above chart shows, prices are in a free-fall from a high on December 13, 2005 at 15.780. An upward reversal however, appears imminent. Here's our take: [1] Prices have traced out a clear five waves down from the December top. The completion of a five-wave pattern always results in at least a three wave countertrend move, which should be the next significant move for Nat Gas. [2] Investor optimism has almost completely evaporated. The 10-day Daily Sentiment Index (MBH Commodity Advisors, 847-446-0800) just hit 10.1% bulls, the second lowest bullish percentage in 16 years (our full data series). The lowest percentage of bulls was 8.4% at the September 2004 bottom after which Nat Gas doubled in price in just under two months. Likewise, Market Vane's Bullish Consensus is at 28%, which is also the lowest percentage since the September 2004 bottom. [3] Professionals also show a high-degree of pessimism with respect to Natural Gas prices. One of Bloomberg's top stories today carried the headline, "Natural Gas, Down 54 Percent from a Peak, May Fall Further As Demand Wanes." In the story an energy researcher observes that, "no matter how you cut it, we're going to end up with a glut" which another gas analyst predicted "is obviously going to have a downward pressure on gas prices through the summer." When a broad consensus develops that Nat Gas prices have no where to go but down, AFTER they have fallen 54 percent, the trend is typically near exhaustion and read to reverse. [4] Frank Taucher's Supertrader's Almanac and technician Ross Clark (
RossClark@shaw.ca) both note that Natural Gas displays a very strong seasonal tendency to bottom in the first quarter of the year and then rally into at least the April-May time period. Most recently, Nat Gas bottoms occurred the week of Jan. 3 and Feb. 14, '05 (double bottom), Feb. 23, '04, Mar. 31, '03, Jan. 28, '02, Mar. 12, '01, Jan. 4, '00, Feb. 22, '99, Jan. 26, '98, Feb. 24, '97. [5] Prices have closed down 7 out of the past 9 weeks and are deeply oversold. Interestingly though, the momentum low as measured by the Relative Strength Index (14) occurs near the end of wave 3 on January 13. Thus far the RSI has not confirmed the new price low since, creating a bullish divergence. Nat Gas may need to mop up a few more subdivisions to complete wave 5, but we would view any additional selling pressure from here as an opportunity to position for an upcoming rally. The upward reversal would be confirmed by either a small-degree five-wave advance, or a push past 8.120, whichever comes first. The initial upside target is above 10.000, with greater upside potential.
Ora aqui está o documento como prova... assim o espero!... de que os moços são melhores que o Nostradamus... ou o Harry Potter!...
...e se põem o gás a subir... ele vai e não volta a vir... e só trepar sem cair!!!
It's a beautiful peaceful evening... everything is quiet and my Soul is truly grateful...
...THANK YOU!!!
Rui leprechaun