Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

[vieira]

Podes sempre comprar Enagás, que é aquilo que eu vou fazer (a Gas Natural está ávida de comprar empresas, o que não é bom para a cotação da acção).

[leprechaun]

Não Charles, nada de percentagens nem pontos!

Faz o download e experimenta... é fácil e de borla!!!

E já seguiram todos os put do EUR/USD... eu até já perdi a conta ao nº de trades sempre, mas SEMPRE a facturar... cá comigo é SÓ ganhar!!!

Yeah! Quando tiver a conta na LJC, talvez só para a semana, é que vai ser! O drama é que conseguir só 2000 euros é para mim uma tal dificuldade!!!

Não faz mal, que em breve os multiplicarei como cogumelos! E vai escolhendo os números mágicos, que eu agora sou o Gnomo de Ouro...

...atraio dinheiro e tudo transformo num tesouro!

É que eu só dou bom agouro...

Rui leprechaun

(...mas trabalho como mouro! )

PS: Yes!!! Noite e dia sem parar, cá estou eu a facturar!!!

[charles]

leprechaun sobre o que falamos ontem do grafico do dax, deixa-me perguntar, se consegues ver a variaçao em % e em pontos e em quantos pontos vai, no carregosa?


cumpt

[leprechaun]

Actualizemos então o que se passa com os preços do Natural Gas nos States, de acordo com a infalível leituras das Elliot Waves.

O comentário de hoje diz o seguinte:

The above chart is the same one we published in our February 13 Update, but with current prices through today's close. In that Update we made the case for a Natural Gas low and subsequent rally to above 10.000 based on the Elliott wave pattern, non-existent bullish sentiment and seasonal tendencies. Natural Gas closed down 11 out of 12 straight days from January 30 to February 15. Today's close now makes it three straight up days since February 15. Paul Montgomery has observed that "days-in-a-row" counts tend not to be randomly distributed. Instead, they are more apt to occur at tops and bottoms. The current down string followed by the 3-day up string in all likelihood indicates that the five-wave decline from mid-December is complete and prices have bottomed. The rally that should develop will likely last weeks, and possibly months. Any break of 7.110, however unlikely, would probably mean that wave 5 down was not yet complete.

Logo, até agora tudo marcha muito bem! Será que há futuros ou CFD sobre o Natural Gas lá na Carregosa?!

Que a minha conta é formosa...

Rui leprechaun

(...ei-la a subir tão airosa! )

[UltraSSur]

Gas Natural GAS
Enagas ENG

[leprechaun]

Se há por aqui alguém que negoceia o gás natural ou alguma acção do sector - eu tenho a TMR que é baratinha! - talvez seja de considerar esta visão muito bullish dos magos das Elliot Waves... é que eu agora não falo noutra coisa!

Pudera! À conta dos moços é só trades atrás de trades positivos no Euro-Dólar... pena é que muitos dos lucros sejam só a fingir... mas os reais já estão p'ra vir!

O gráfico anexo vem acompanhado do seguinte longo comentário... contrarian!

NATURAL GAS - One particular market where we don't have to be non-committal is one we do not normally discuss. We rarely feature the energy markets in these pages, but sometimes an opportunity arises that is so compelling we feel obligated to alert you to the situation. This appears to be the case right now in Natural Gas. As the above chart shows, prices are in a free-fall from a high on December 13, 2005 at 15.780. An upward reversal however, appears imminent. Here's our take: [1] Prices have traced out a clear five waves down from the December top. The completion of a five-wave pattern always results in at least a three wave countertrend move, which should be the next significant move for Nat Gas. [2] Investor optimism has almost completely evaporated. The 10-day Daily Sentiment Index (MBH Commodity Advisors, 847-446-0800) just hit 10.1% bulls, the second lowest bullish percentage in 16 years (our full data series). The lowest percentage of bulls was 8.4% at the September 2004 bottom after which Nat Gas doubled in price in just under two months. Likewise, Market Vane's Bullish Consensus is at 28%, which is also the lowest percentage since the September 2004 bottom. [3] Professionals also show a high-degree of pessimism with respect to Natural Gas prices. One of Bloomberg's top stories today carried the headline, "Natural Gas, Down 54 Percent from a Peak, May Fall Further As Demand Wanes." In the story an energy researcher observes that, "no matter how you cut it, we're going to end up with a glut" which another gas analyst predicted "is obviously going to have a downward pressure on gas prices through the summer." When a broad consensus develops that Nat Gas prices have no where to go but down, AFTER they have fallen 54 percent, the trend is typically near exhaustion and read to reverse. [4] Frank Taucher's Supertrader's Almanac and technician Ross Clark (RossClark@shaw.ca) both note that Natural Gas displays a very strong seasonal tendency to bottom in the first quarter of the year and then rally into at least the April-May time period. Most recently, Nat Gas bottoms occurred the week of Jan. 3 and Feb. 14, '05 (double bottom), Feb. 23, '04, Mar. 31, '03, Jan. 28, '02, Mar. 12, '01, Jan. 4, '00, Feb. 22, '99, Jan. 26, '98, Feb. 24, '97. [5] Prices have closed down 7 out of the past 9 weeks and are deeply oversold. Interestingly though, the momentum low as measured by the Relative Strength Index (14) occurs near the end of wave 3 on January 13. Thus far the RSI has not confirmed the new price low since, creating a bullish divergence. Nat Gas may need to mop up a few more subdivisions to complete wave 5, but we would view any additional selling pressure from here as an opportunity to position for an upcoming rally. The upward reversal would be confirmed by either a small-degree five-wave advance, or a push past 8.120, whichever comes first. The initial upside target is above 10.000, with greater upside potential.

Ora aqui está o documento como prova... assim o espero!... de que os moços são melhores que o Nostradamus... ou o Harry Potter!...

...e se põem o gás a subir... ele vai e não volta a vir... e só trepar sem cair!!!

It's a beautiful peaceful evening... everything is quiet and my Soul is truly grateful...

...THANK YOU!!!

Rui leprechaun