Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

[meu-gôdo]

Sim. Referia-me ao dia de amanhã...

[Camisa Roxa]

É às 15 horas que Bernanke vai falar, não é?

isso é só amanhã

[meu-gôdo]

É às 15 horas que Bernanke vai falar, não é?

Um abraço

[rteixe01]

Sim, amanhã com o homem a falar é que os mercados vão ficar nervosos. Para já no DAX estou como já se falou, à espera da quebra dos 5380/90.

[Infoo]

rteixe....não necessáriamente.... o core ppi veio no esperado e nada "inflacionado"... o q foi interpretado como "isto no ppi não está a piorar".

quanto ao medo inflação/tx... amanhã os dados do cpi serão levados mais a peito

[rteixe01]

Já vi futuros de 0.4% positivos ou negativos passarem para o outro em questões segundos, logo não me espantam.

[criança em warrants]

Não percebo é porque os futuros estão bem positivos.

[rteixe01]

Posto isto, parece que vamos quase de certeza ter novos aumentos nas taxas dos EUA e novo rally Bear a aparecer. Amanhã já vamos ter provas disso com certeza, logo após o Bernanke falar.

[Infoo]

8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. CORE INTERMEDIATE PPI UP 7.3% Y-O-Y, 15-MONTH HIGH
8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. PPI UP 4.9% IN PAST YEAR
8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. CORE PPI UP 1.9% IN PAST YEAR, MOST SINCE SEPT.
8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. JUNE CRUDE PPI DOWN 1.7%8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. JUNE INTERMEDIATE PPI UP 0.7%
8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. JUNE CORE PPI UP 0.2% AS EXPECTED
8:30 AM ET 7/18/06 U.S. JUNE PPI UP 0.5% VS. 0.2% EXPECTED

ECONOMIC REPORT: PPI rises unexpected 0.5% on food, energy; Core wholesale inflation remains moderate at 0.2% gain in June
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch
Last Update: 8:30 AM ET Jul 18, 2006

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - U.S. producer prices rose by a larger-than-expected 0.5% in June, but core inflation increased 0.2% as expected, the Labor Department reported Tuesday.

Higher energy and food prices accounted for most of the gain in June in the producer price index for finished goods.

Energy prices rose 0.7% in June, as wholesale gasoline prices jumped a surprising 6.3%. Natural gas and residential electricity prices fell. Food prices rose 1.4%, the most since October 2004.

The core rate - which excludes food and energy prices - was boosted by a 0.9 increase in passenger car prices and a solid 0.3% gain in capital goods prices.

Inflationary pressures were mixed further back in the production pipeline. Prices of crude materials fell 1.7%, while intermediate goods prices rose 0.7%. Core intermediate goods prices rose 0.8% on price increases for metals, chemicals and containers.

The 0.5% gain in the PPI was much larger than the 0.2% expected by economists surveyed by MarketWatch. The core rate was exactly as predicted.

In May, the PPI had risen 0.2%, with core prices up 0.3%.

In the second quarter, the PPI increased at 6.7% annual rate. The core PPI increased at a 1.9% annual rate.

In the past year, the PPI is up 4.9%, the fastest year-over-year gain since January. The core PPI is up 1.9% in the past year, the biggest gain since September.

Prices for core intermediate goods - a key gauge of pipeline inflationary pressures - have risen 7.3% in the past year, the most in 15 months.
The Federal Reserve will get a better picture of inflationary trends on Wednesday, when the Labor Department reports on the consumer price index for June. Economists expect a 0.2% gains in both the headline and core CPI.

After 17 consecutive interest rate hikes, the Fed has signaled that it is near the end of its tightening cycle. But most analysts expect at least one more rate hike, probably on Aug. 8, to keep the lid on any inflationary pressures.

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will testify to the Senate Banking Committee on Wednesday, giving the lawmakers the Fed's forecasts for growth and inflation over the next year and a half. Recent data show a marked slowdown in economic growth, just as the Fed has been hoping for.

However, many feel that inflation remains the greatest risk to the economy.