Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

[jabreu]

Até pq as estimativas de criação de emprego nos US normalmente são exageradas... nunca são batidas... algo está mal nessas previsões.

[jarc]

Embora não reflictam o record esperado também não é caso para dizer: "Tou chateado, Claro que tou chateado!"
Parece-me que ajudam a uma ida para baixo na abertura e que depois temos recuperação.

[Info....]

8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. PAYROLLS UP 185,000 IN BUSH'S FIRST TERM
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. DEC. PAYROLL GAIN REVISED TO 133,000 VS. 157,000
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. SERVICES PAYROLLS UP 177,000
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. MANUFACTURING PAYROLLS FALL 25,000
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. AVERAGE WORKWEEK FALLS TO 33.7 HOURS
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. AVERAGE HOURLY WAGES UP 0.1%
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. RETAIL JOBS UP 19,000
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. PAYROLL BENCHMARK REVISIONS ADD 203,000 PAYROLLS
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. PAYROLLS EXCEED FEB. 2001 PEAK FOR 1ST TIME
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. JOBLESS RATE FALLS TO 5.2%, LOWEST SINCE 9/01
8:30am 02/04/05 U.S. JAN. NONFARM PAYROLLS UP 146,000 VS. 189K EXPECTED

ECONOMIC REPORT: U.S. jobless rate falls to 5.2%; Nonfarm payrolls rise disappointing 146,000 in January
By Rex Nutting, MarketWatch
Last Update: 8:35 AM ET Feb. 4, 2005

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) - The U.S. unemployment rate fell from 5.4 percent to 5.2 percent in January, the lowest since September 2001, the Labor Department reported Friday.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by 146,000 to a seasonally adjusted record of 132.573 million, as employment broke the February 2001 peak for the first time. Read the full report.

With the payroll increase and an upward revision to past data, job growth in President Bush's first term totaled 119,000, letting him avoid the stigma of being the first president since Herbert Hoover to preside over net job losses.

Economists were expecting payroll growth of about 189,000, according to a survey conducted by MarketWatch. The jobless rate was expected to remain at 5.4 percent. See Economic Calendar.

Payrolls have increased by an average of 137,000 in the past three months, a slow down from the 181,000 average pace in all of 2004.

The average hourly wage increased 3 cents or 0.1 percent in January to $15.88 in January. Hourly wages are up 2.6 percent in the past year.

The average workweek declined to 33.7 hours from 33.8 hours. Total hours worked in the economy fell 0.1 percent. Average hours worked in manufacturing increased by a tenth to 40.7 hours.

The annual benchmark revision adjusted payrolls upward by 203,000 or 0.2 percent of employment. Payroll growth averaged 181,000 in 2004. Since the trough in May 2003, payrolls have grown 2.7 million.

The labor force participation rate fell a tenth to 65.8 percent in January.

Manufacturing and construction jobs declined by a total to 31,000, including 25,000 lost factory jobs. Jobs in the services increased by 177,000, including 19,000 in retail. Government added 12,000 workers.

Within services, gains were spread among sectors. Health-care and education grew 35,000, professional and business services gained 25,000 and leisure and hospitality increased 20,000. Temp jobs increased by 17,500 in January.

In January, 57.8 percent of 278 industries were adding jobs, up from 53.8 percent in December. In manufacturing, 47 percent of 84 industries were adding jobs, up from 37.5 percent in December.

[Visitante]

As bolsas parecem estar a digerir bem os resultados.

[Visitante]

Pouco bons

[TRSM]

Dados EUA: Change in Nonfarm Payrolls: 146 k (Esp. 200k) / Change in Manufacturing Payrolls: -25 k (Esp. 5k) / Average Weekly Hours: 33.7 (Esp. 33.8)

LJ Carregosa SA

Dados EUA: Unemployment Rate: 5.2% (esp: 5.4%); Average Hourly Earnings: 0.2% (esp: 0.2%).

LJ Carregosa SA