Como se combate o populismo? "Com eleições", responde Fukuyama

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12:03pm 12/16/04 U.S. DEC. PHILLY FED EMPLOYMENT 14.7 VS. 17.4 IN NOV.
12:03pm 12/16/04 U.S. DEC. PHILLY FED NEW ORDERS 26.4 VS. 22.1 IN NOV.
12:01pm 12/16/04 U.S. DEC. PHILLY FED ABOVE CONSENSUS 20.0
12:00pm 12/16/04 U.S. DEC. PHILLY FED 29.6 VS. 20.7 IN NOV.

ECONOMIC REPORT: December strength in Philly factories
By Gregory Robb, CBS Marketwatch.com
Last Update: 12:31 PM ET Dec. 16, 2004

WASHINGTON (CBS.MW) -- Activity at factories in the Philadelphia region accelerated in December, the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia reported Thursday.

The Philly Fed's activity index rose to 29.6 in December from 20.7 in November.

The increase was larger than expected. Economists surveyed by CBS MarketWatch had been looking for the index to remain relatively unchanged at 20.0 in December.

But expectations were raised on Wednesday in the financial markets for a stronger Philly Fed report after a similar survey for the New York region, the Empire State index, jumped to 29.9 in December from 18.9 in November.

The Philly Fed index is closely watched because it often accurately forecasts the national purchasing managers' survey on manufacturing activity reported by the Institute for Supply Management just after the end of each month. The ISM index rose to a reading of 57.8 percent in November.

The Philly Fed's new orders index rose to 26.4 from 22.1 in November, while shipments rose to 32.0 from 24.5.

Expectations about the economy in six months worsened, however, as the expectations index fell to 41.2 from 52.1 in November.

Firms were evenly divided about the impact on their businesses from the weaker U.S. dollar.

Roughly 29 percent of the firms indicated net positive effects on their operations from the falling dollar, while 31 percent reported net negative effects.

There was a flurry of economic indicators released on Thursday.

Earlier, the Labor Department reported that jobless claims fell sharply in the latest week.

Also, the Commerce Department reported that housing starts were weaker than expected.

And the government reported that the current account deficit widened to a new record in the third quarter.